Bush-Obama America

Sangamon County

County Overview
Barack Obama announced his presidential candidacy on February 10, 2007 in Abraham Lincoln’s hometown–Springfield, Illinois. Springfield is also the state’s capital city and the county seat of Sangamon, a Bush-Obama county. Illinois has 23 Bush-Obama counties and Mitt Romney has been stomping through many of , them hoping a strong win in Illinois will help resurrect his status as a frontrunner. In fact, he was in Springfield on Monday. The county and state appear to be comfortably in Obama’s pocket for the General Election in November. But on Tuesday, Illinois serves as an important measure of Romney’s inevitability as the nominee.

Let the People Speak

 

“There hasn’t really been much about the national stage here at all. I think Illinois, because Obama’s from here, doesn’t get a lot of publicity because he’s pretty much going to carry the state.”

Mike Goodwin, High school teacher

 

“I think the candidates themselves need to be relatable, and I think Mitt Romney has placed himself in a place where he’s not accessible to the average, everyday person. I think Rick Santorum has come out a little too severe with religious issues, and they’re struggling with that.”

Gina Hanna, History teacher

 

 

 

“[Romney] is generally a little more moderate, and I think a lot of people are, even though we do vote red in a lot of counties here, so any Republican I think would do well.”

Michael Brannigan, Student

 

Demographics

Population 2010: 197,465

Sangamon County (US)

% Change in Population (2000-2010): 4.5% (9.7%)
% White: 82.5% (63.7%)
% Black: 11.7% (12.2%)
% Hispanic: 1.8% (16.3%)
% Asian: 1.6% (4.7%)
% Native American: .2% (.7%)
Median Age: 39.2 (37.2)
Median Household Income: $53,085 ($51,222)
Poverty Rate: 13.0% (14.4%)
Median Housing Price (2000): $91,200 ($119,600)
Median Housing Price (2010): $121,000 ($187,500)
% of Adults with at least BA: 30.8% (28.0%)
Unemployment Rate: 8.0% (9.6%)

Employment Sectors
Agriculture and Primary Activities: 1.2% (1.9%)
Construction: 5.0% (6.8%)
Manufacturing: 4.3% (10.7%)
Wholesale Trade: 2.4% (2.9%)
Retail Trade: 10.9% (11.6%)
Transportation, Warehousing and Utilities: 4.4% (5.0%)
Information: 2.5% (2.3%)
Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate: 7.4% (6.8%)
Professional, Scientific and Management Services: 8.0% (10.5%)
Education and Health Care Services: 24.9% (22.6%)
Arts, Entertainment and Recreation Services: 8.6% (9.1%)
Other Services: 5.9% (4.9%)
Public Administration: 14.4% (4.9%)

Politics
2008 Results: Obama 51.2%, McCain 46.9%
2004 Results: Bush 58.6%, Kerry 40.5%
2000 Results: Bush 55.1%, Gore 42.0%
1996 Winner: Dole (Clinton)
1992 Winner: Clinton
1988 Winner: Bush
1984 Winner: Reagan
1980 Winner: Reagan
1976 Winner: Ford (Carter)
1972 Winner: Nixon
1968 Winner: Nixon
1964 Winner: Johnson
1960 Winner: Nixon (Kennedy)

Sources
Population, racial demographics and median age:
2010 Census Summary File 1
2000 Census Summary File 1

Household income, BA attainment, housing prices 2010, poverty rate and economic sectors:
American Community Survey 2010, 3-year estimates

Housing prices 2000:
Census Summary File 3

Unemployment Rate:
Bureau of Labor Statistics

Historical Election Results:
Dave Leip’s Election Atlas

2 Comments

  1. XAH
    March 21, 2012

    Interesting

  2. J. Miller
    March 23, 2012

    OK, the StephanieMiller.com ads hauled me here. Your analysis should remind our friends & allies who imagine there’s a “progressive majority” just waiting to be tapped by the “right candidates” that President Obama’s task in getting re-elected is more complicated “than dreamt of in their philosophy.” Swing-vote America remains risk-averse, and extremely vulnerable to the GOP’s stuck-record greatest hits: race, war/terror, “welfare,” etc.

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